Controversial New Theory Suggests Earth Will Be Cooling Down Before 2017 – Have Global Warming Predictions Been Exaggerated?

MessageToEagle.com – Climate change and global warming remain controversial subjects that are frequently debated among experts. Currently, about 97% percent of climate scientists agree that climate-warming trends over the past century are very likely due to human activities. Our world’s temperature is increasing and this change has devastating impact on our planet. One scientist who disagrees with this opinion is Dr David Evans, a former climate modeller for the Government’s Australian Greenhouse Office. According to Dr. Evans global warming predictions have been vastly exaggerated in error.

Dr. Evans and his controversial climate change theory

The academic, from Perth, Australia, who has passed six degrees in applied mathematics, has analyzed complex mathematical assumptions widely used to predict climate change and is predicting world temperature will stagnate until 2017 before cooling, with a ‘mini ice age’ by 2030.

He says fundamental flaws in how future temperatures may rise have been included in the ‘standard models’ and this has led to inflated mathematical – and therefore temperature – predictions.

He said: “There is an intellectual stand-off in climate change. Skeptics point to empirical evidence that disagrees with the climate models.

“Yet the climate scientists insist that their calculations showing a high sensitivity to carbon dioxide are correct — because they use well-established physics, such as spectroscopy, radiation physics, and adiabatic lapse rates.

He said he “mapped out” the architecture of the climate models used and found, that while the physics was correct, it had been “applied wrongly”.

He claims to have found two reasons for it being wrongly applied, the first being a vastly over estimated impact on our temperature from CO2.

He said: “There is no empirical evidence that rising levels of carbon dioxide will raise the temperature of the Earth’s surface as fast as the UN’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) predicts.

“Yes, CO2 has an effect, but it’s about a fifth or tenth of what the IPCC says it is.

“CO2 is not driving the climate; it caused less than 20% of the global warming in the last few decades”.

He said the other problem was the predictions had no reflection on changes that have actually been recorded and never saw the current 18-year temperature stagnation we are now in.

“The model architecture was wrong,” he said.

“Carbon dioxide causes only minor warming. The climate is largely driven by factors outside our control.

“As such, the wind farms and solar panels are not just bad at reducing carbon dioxide — even if they did succeed in reducing carbon dioxide they’d be useless at cooling the planet. It is only four billion dollars a day worldwide, wasted.”

Although he is convinced he is right, he fears it will not be taken on board by world governments.

“These findings here are unlikely to be popular with the establishment. The political obstacles are massive,” he said.

Dr Evans says historic global warming has been down to solar activity – a process called  “albedo modulation” – the waxing and waning of reflected radiation from the Sun.

Between 2017 and 2021 he estimates a cooling of about 0.3C before the mini ice age in the 2030s.

His theory is unlikely to convince Julia Slingo, UK Met Office chief scientist, who believes increased CO2 levels is the big “smoking gun evidence” for man made climate change.

She said: “Those levels have been rising systematically ever since the Industrial Revolution, and, in fact, have risen very rapidly over the last fifty years, so that the levels we now measure in the atmosphere are at least a third higher than they’ve been for at least 800,000 years.

“That’s not enough to prove that it’s human activities that are leading to that rise.

“We can also tell that a lot of the extra carbon dioxide in our atmosphere is coming from very ancient carbon — it isn’t the result of our current biosphere changing its activity or anything like that. This is ancient carbon that’s being released into the atmosphere — in other words, through burning fossil fuels.”

She also argues oxygen levels in our atmosphere have declined for more than 50 years, again caused by burning fossil fuels.

“There’s a complete story here, for which there is no other explanation, really, than it is our activities and ways of generating energy that are causing our climate to change.”

Dr. Evans’s claims are controversial in nature and contradict theories presented by other climate scientists who maintain there is scientific evidence for warming of the climate system.

See also:

• Can Dramatic Climate Changes Throughout Our Solar System Trigger Spontaneous Evolution?
• Opening Pandora’s Box: 30,000-Year-Old ‘Giant’ Virus To Be Brought Back To Back To Life By Scientists

What can new observations reveal?

The sea level rise is today nearly double that of the last century. Major global surface temperature reconstructions show that Earth has warmed since 1880. The oceans have absorbed much of this increased heat, with the top 700 meters (about 2,300 feet) of ocean showing warming of 0.302 degrees Fahrenheit since 1969.

The Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets have decreased in mass. Both the extent and thickness of Arctic sea ice has declined rapidly over the last several decades. Glaciers are retreating almost everywhere around the world — including in the Alps, Himalayas, Andes, Rockies, Alaska and Africa.

The number of record high temperature events in the United States has been increasing, while the number of record low temperature events has been decreasing, since 1950. Satellite observations reveal that the amount of spring snow cover in the Northern Hemisphere has decreased over the past five decades and that the snow is melting earlier.

The climate changes we can observe make us wonder whether Dr. Evans is really right in his assumption that the world is cooling down.

MessageToEagle.com

References:

NASA – Evidence of climate change

Express UK – World will start cooling down in 2017, claims one of planet’s top climate change experts